Belief in magic may be declining
We recorded 2 claims from this post. 2 were checked against evidence. 3 more are held. Read the post at its source.
Claims from this post (2)
In the order they appear in the post. Each quotation is the speaker’s words in this post. A label such as “Supported” or “Can’t be checked” is the claim’s current assessment; its page has the evidence and the reasons.
Assessment: MixedSaid
Observation
“So let me get this straight? Sora’s can’t reliably handle basic physics, ChatGPT had an unexplained meltdown, Gemini can’t even remember who was on Apollo 11, there are no formal guarantees that any of this will ever work, you yourself admit you don’t know how it works, or how much better it will get next time around, and you want another $7 trillion dollars?”
Our reading: ChatGPT had an unexplained meltdown.
No horizon Evidence as of
Limitation: The incident was initially unexplained. Reading the adjective as referring only to that initial stage would change the assessment.
Assessment: UnresolvedSaid
Observation
“Gary Marcus has said from day 1 that LLMs are oversold.”
Our reading: Gary Marcus has said from day 1 that LLMs are oversold.
No horizon Evidence as of
Limitation: The documented criticism concerns GPT-2 and cannot establish his entire earlier record.
Held from this post (3)
These records did not pass every check, so nothing about them is published. Held is not a finding.
- The two reviews read the claim differently
- The two reviews read the claim differently
- The record does not meet the current rules. Our reading, not assessed: Gemini can't even remember who was on Apollo 11.