Hot take on Google’s Gemini and GPT-4
We recorded 3 claims from this post. 2 were checked against evidence. 1 can’t be checked. 2 more are held. Read the post at its source.
Claims from this post (3)
In the order they appear in the post. Each quotation is the speaker’s words in this post. A label such as “Supported” or “Can’t be checked” is the claim’s current assessment; its page has the evidence and the reasons.
Assessment: UnresolvedSaid
“From a commercial standpoint GPT-4 is no longer unique.”
What we tested: Commercially, GPT-4 is no longer a unique offering.
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
“The fact that Google, with all its resources, did NOT blow away GPT-4 could be telling.”
What we tested: The fact that Google, with all its resources, did not blow away GPT-4 could be telling about whether LLMs are close to a plateau.
Assessment: SupportedSaid
“Note that Gates and Altman have both been dropping hints, and GPT-5 isn’t here after a year despite immense commercial desire.”
What we tested: Gates and Altman have both been dropping hints, and GPT-5 has not arrived after a year despite immense commercial desire.
What happened: The sentence reports Gates predicting initial stagnation. The surrounding account also anticipates later improvements, so his skepticism was qualified. (Handelsblatt, )
Held from this post (2)
These records did not pass every check, so nothing about them is published. Held is not a finding.
- The text changed after it was checked. Our reading, not assessed: Gemini appears by many measures to have matched or slightly exceeded GPT-4 but not to have blown it away.
- The two reviews read the claim differently