The need for a President that speaks AI natively
We recorded 11 claims from this post. 3 were checked against evidence. 8 can’t be checked. 5 more are held. Read the post at its source.
Claims from this post (11)
In the order they appear in the post. Each quotation is the speaker’s words in this post. A label such as “Supported” or “Can’t be checked” is the claim’s current assessment; its page has the evidence and the reasons.
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
“the whole Generative AI thing is looking more and more like a dud.”
What we tested: The whole generative AI thing is looking more and more like a dud.
Assessment: UnresolvedSaid
“Returns are starting to diminish.”
What we tested: Returns from scaling generative AI are starting to diminish.
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
“We do need new approaches to AI.”
What we tested: New approaches to AI are needed.
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
“OpenAI may in fact yet turn out to be the WeWork of AI.”
What we tested: OpenAI may yet turn out to be the WeWork of AI.
Assessment: UnresolvedSaid
“The markers that our next President puts down—about how much liability and responsibility companies will have, and about how the government keeps up with a rapidly changing technology— will have lasting impact.”
What we tested: The next US President's AI policy decisions on corporate liability and government oversight will have lasting impact.
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
“AI is going to change everything, if not tomorrow, sometime over the next 5-20 years, some ways for good, some for bad.”
What we tested: AI will change everything, for good and bad, sometime within the next 5 to 20 years.
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
“We cannot afford to have a President in 2024 that doesn’t fully grasp this.”
What we tested: The US must elect a President in 2024 who fully grasps AI's transformative impact.
Assessment: UnresolvedSaid
“With the truth that LLMs can’t be trusted now becoming more widely known, the big AI leaders have switched their focus to long term promises that are impossible to verify and even more grandiose than “we can help your business in unprecedented ways” (which has turned out to be mostly untrue).”
What we tested: As the truth that LLMs can't be trusted becomes more widely known, the big AI leaders have switched their focus to long-term promises that are impossible to verify and even more grandiose than 'we can help your business in unprecedented ways', a promise that has turned out to be mostly untrue.
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
“And we need a President who can get Congress (which has this far dithered) to recognize the true urgency of the moment, since Executive Orders alone are not enough.”
What we tested: We need a President who can get Congress, which has thus far dithered, to recognize the true urgency of the moment on AI, since executive orders alone are not enough.
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
“We need a President who can recognize when corporate leaders are promising things far beyond is currently realistic, who can sort truth from bullshit, in order to develop AI policies that are grounded in reality.”
What we tested: The US needs a President who can tell when corporate AI promises are unrealistic, so that AI policy is grounded in reality.
Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid
“We also need a President who can stand up to big tech, and resist regulatory capture.”
What we tested: The US needs a President who stands up to big tech and resists regulatory capture.
Held from this post (5)
These records did not pass every check, so nothing about them is published. Held is not a finding.
- The record does not meet the current rules. Our reading, not assessed: Scaling alone is not enough to fix AI's limitations.
- The two reviews reached different assessments. Our reading, not assessed: Altman offhandedly told the Aspen audience that AI could double the world's GDP, without offering a shred of evidence.
- The two reviews read the claim differently
- The record does not meet the current rules. Our reading, not assessed: AI discovering all of physics is neither coherent nor plausible within the next couple of decades.
- The record does not meet the current rules. Our reading, not assessed: Generative AI still has enormous limitations, still hallucinates, and still makes boneheaded mistakes.