“Even though some of the drawbacks, which inherently are less dependent on reliably and tight causal reasoning, such as misinformation use, nonconsensual deepfake porn, ans deepfake kidnapping scams, are already here to say).”
Our reading, the sentence that was checked:
Some of AI's drawbacks, which are inherently less dependent on reliable and tight causal reasoning, such as misinformation, nonconsensual deepfake porn, and deepfake kidnapping scams, are already here to stay.
Assessment: Unresolved Evidence as of
Where and when Gary Marcus wrote it
Marcus on AI, Eric Schmidt’s Risky Bet on AI and Climate Change, paragraph 5.
- Said
- Source observed
- live page, full text, public
- Evidence as of
- the cutoff for this assessment
- Assessment recorded
- assessment marcus-eric-schmidts-risky-bet-on-ai-and-275bbb-a1
We recorded 16 claims from this post. See every claim from this post.
The wording above is the version this site observed on 2026-10-28. The source may have been edited after 2024-10-05. This page does not claim the wording was captured then.
What the claim commits to
- Kind
- Observation
- Deadline, as the speaker wrote it
- None stated. This site does not add one.
- Deadline state when assessed
- No horizon
- Deadline state on 2026-10-29
- No horizon (the release’s reference date)
Conditions
- some of the drawbacks (scope, stated by the speaker)
- reading 'here to say' as a typo for 'here to stay' (qualifier, stated by the speaker)
From the speaker
- some of the drawbacks
- inherently are less dependent on reliably and tight causal reasoning
- misinformation use
- nonconsensual deepfake porn
- deepfake kidnapping scams
- are already here to say
Our interpretation
- Read 'here to say' as the apparent typo 'here to stay'.
- The main historical assertion is that the named harmful uses were established by October 5, 2024; 'already' makes the lookback cumulative.
- Read 'here to stay' as established and persistent, rather than literally impossible ever to eliminate.
- Preserve the additional comparison about inherent reasoning requirements. Case reports alone cannot establish that comparison.
- The comparison appears to concern the beneficial scientific applications discussed immediately before this sentence.
Counts as supported if: Reliable records establish the named harmful uses by publication and evidence supports their persistence and the stated comparison in reasoning requirements.
Counts as contradicted if: Reliable evidence refutes a material named occurrence or shows that the claimed inherent reasoning comparison is false. Failure to find reports alone is insufficient.
Retrospective: these criteria were written after the outcome was public.
Current assessment
Was it true for the period described?
Outcome: Unresolved
The record was checked, and the evidence available by the cutoff does not settle it.
Scored on a plain reading. The speaker named no measure for this claim, so it was judged on the reading an informed reader would take, stated below under our interpretation. Both reviews had to find that reading fair.
- Evidence as of
- Deadline state when assessed
- No horizon
- Assessment recorded
- Policy version
- 2026-10-28.7
Rationale
The historical core has substantial support: the [FCC](https://docs.fcc.gov/public/attachments/DOC-405811A1.pdf) documented election misinformation and the [FBI](https://www.ic3.gov/PSA/Archive/2023/PSA230605) documented nonconsensual explicit synthetic content. The [Congressional Record](https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/CREC-2023-06-14/html/CREC-2023-06-14-pt1-PgS2089.htm) recounts an alleged AI kidnapping scam. But these records do not establish the inherent reasoning comparison or the full persistence assertion. The complete sentence remains unresolved; its occurrence component is substantially supported.
Limitations
- Reported voice impersonation is not equivalent to forensic confirmation of AI use.
- The available source-type vocabulary has no agency-advisory category; company_disclosure denotes first-party institutional announcements for the FCC and FBI.
- No claim of literal permanent inevitability is evaluated.
Evidence (3 items)
Supports the claim: Federal Communications Commission,
deepfake audio
Why it matters here: The FCC documents actual AI-enabled election misinformation before publication. It supports the occurrence component, without measuring the system's causal-reasoning requirements.
- Publisher
- Federal Communications Commission
- Kind of source
- Company disclosure: the company describing itself, not an independent finding
- Describes events of
- Public from
Supports the claim: Federal Bureau of Investigation, Internet Crime Complaint Center,
explicit content
Why it matters here: The advisory documents repeated reports of nonconsensual explicit synthetic content and describes its circulation. This supports an existing recurring harm rather than a merely hypothetical use.
- Publisher
- Federal Bureau of Investigation, Internet Crime Complaint Center
- Kind of source
- Company disclosure: the company describing itself, not an independent finding
- Describes events of
- Public from
Supports the claim: Congressional Record, U.S. Government Publishing Office,
kidnapping and extortion scheme.
Why it matters here: The official record recounts a reported voice-cloning kidnapping scam discussed in Senate testimony. It supports the existence of a documented allegation, but does not independently authenticate the alleged AI-generated audio.
- Publisher
- Congressional Record, U.S. Government Publishing Office
- Kind of source
- Secondary summary
- Describes events of
- Public from
What would settle it
Authenticated prepublication kidnapping evidence, records establishing recurring use, and a defined comparative test of the reasoning needed for the harmful and beneficial tasks would address the remaining components.
Where it was said (1)
Said once in the sources this register covers.
: Marcus on AI, Eric Schmidt’s Risky Bet on AI and Climate Change
Even though some of the drawbacks, which inherently are less dependent on reliably and tight causal reasoning, such as misinformation use, nonconsensual deepfake porn, ans deepfake kidnapping scams, are already here to say).
- Where
- paragraph 5
- Published
- 2024-10-05
- Source observed
- , live page
- Access
- full text, public
History
Assessment versions
- Assessment marcus-eric-schmidts-risky-bet-on-ai-and-275bbb-a1: Current. Outcome: Unresolved. Evidence as of 2026-10-28. Public date not recorded.
Recorded events
Assessment publishedBy this site
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
About assessment marcus-eric-schmidts-risky-bet-on-ai-and-275bbb-a1.