Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

“Claude doesn’t really understand its instructions, and it can’t keep to them. This isn’t new; it’s been true of LLMs from the start. But it is not getting better.”

LLMs: Dishonest, unpredictable and potentially dangerous., paragraph 17. The full statement is at the source.

Our reading, the sentence that was checked:

Claude, like LLMs from the start, doesn't understand or reliably follow its instructions, and this is not improving.

Assessment: Mixed Evidence as of

Where and when Gary Marcus wrote it

Marcus on AI, LLMs: Dishonest, unpredictable and potentially dangerous., paragraph 17.

Said
Source observed
live page, full text, public
Evidence as of
the cutoff for this assessment
Assessment recorded
assessment marcus-llms-dishonest-unpredictable-and-4b236d-a1

We recorded 17 claims from this post. See every claim from this post.

The wording above is the version this site observed on 2026-10-28. The source may have been edited after 2025-06-22. This page does not claim the wording was captured then.

What the claim commits to

Kind
Observation
Deadline, as the speaker wrote it
None stated. This site does not add one.
Deadline state when assessed
No horizon
Deadline state on 2026-10-29
No horizon (the release’s reference date)

From the speaker

  • Claude doesn’t really understand its instructions
  • it can’t keep to them
  • true of LLMs from the start
  • it is not getting better

Our interpretation

  • The observable claim is that instruction compliance remains unreliable and has not improved across model generations.
  • Really understand has no independent operational definition here. Behavioral failures alone cannot settle that philosophical assertion.
  • The historical interval ends at publication. Its start remains unspecified because from the start does not identify a date.
  • Comparable jailbreak evaluations are directly relevant because the surrounding passage concerns bypassing safety instructions.

Counts as supported if: Documented compliance failures persist, and comparable evaluations across successive versions show no material improvement in resistance to instruction violations.

Counts as contradicted if: Comparable evaluations show material improvement across successive versions. Such improvement contradicts the trend claim even if some failures remain.

Retrospective: these criteria were written after the outcome was public.

Current assessment

Was it true for the period described?

Outcome: Mixed

Part of the claim holds and part does not, and the record says which part is which.

Scored on a plain reading. The speaker named no measure for this claim, so it was judged on the reading an informed reader would take, stated below under our interpretation. Both reviews had to find that reading fair.

Evidence as of
Deadline state when assessed
No horizon
Assessment recorded
Policy version
2026-10-28.7

Rationale

Instruction violations persisted, including a successful jailbreak against a guarded Claude system. But the claim that this was not improving is contradicted by a pre-publication comparison showing substantially better jailbreak resistance in newer Claude versions. Remaining failures and measurable improvement can both be true. The assertion about genuine understanding is not settled by these tests.

Limitations

  • The comparative results are developer-reported.
  • The benchmark covers selected attacks and was run without ASL-3 protections.
  • Improvement on this benchmark does not imply improvement in every agentic scenario.

Evidence (2 items)

  • Supports the claim: Anthropic,

    a universal jailbreak

    Why it matters here: The public challenge found a strategy that bypassed the guarded system across its eight target questions. This supports the persistence of safety-instruction failures, but does not establish an absence of improvement.

    Publisher
    Anthropic
    Kind of source
    Company disclosure: the company describing itself, not an independent finding
    Describes events of
    Public from
  • Goes against the claim: Anthropic,

    improved jailbreak resistance

    Why it matters here: On the same StrongREJECT evaluation, standard-mode best-attack success fell from 31.95% for Sonnet 3.7 to 6.71% for Sonnet 4 and 18.21% for Opus 4. Extended-thinking results also improved, while remaining above zero.

    Publisher
    Anthropic
    Kind of source
    Company disclosure: the company describing itself, not an independent finding
    Describes events of
    Public from

What would settle it

Independent matched evaluations would strengthen the trend assessment. The understanding component requires a separate operational definition.

Where it was said (1)

Said once in the sources this register covers.

  • : Marcus on AI, LLMs: Dishonest, unpredictable and potentially dangerous.

    Claude doesn’t really understand its instructions, and it can’t keep to them. This isn’t new; it’s been true of LLMs from the start. But it is not getting better.

    Published
    2025-06-22
    Source observed
    , live page
    Access
    full text, public

History

Assessment versions

Recorded events

  1. Assessment publishedBy this site

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    About assessment marcus-llms-dishonest-unpredictable-and-4b236d-a1.