Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

“And you should be watching to see what they plan to do about the growing problem of nonconsensual deep fake porn, and especially how that might affect the already vulnerable population of teenage girls, who have been hard by social media.”

What will the candidates say about AI in tonight’s debate?, paragraph 4. The full statement is at the source.

Our reading, the sentence that was checked:

Nonconsensual deepfake porn is a growing problem.

Assessment: Supported Evidence as of

Where and when Gary Marcus wrote it

Marcus on AI, What will the candidates say about AI in tonight’s debate?, paragraph 4.

Said
Source observed
live page, full text, public
Evidence as of
the cutoff for this assessment
Assessment recorded
assessment marcus-what-will-the-candidates-say-about-c2395f-a2

We recorded 8 claims from this post. See every claim from this post.

The wording above is the version this site observed on 2026-10-28. The source may have been edited after 2024-09-10. This page does not claim the wording was captured then.

What the claim commits to

Kind
Observation
Deadline, as the speaker wrote it
None stated. This site does not add one.
Deadline state when assessed
No horizon
Deadline state on 2026-10-29
No horizon (the release’s reference date)

From the speaker

  • growing problem
  • nonconsensual deep fake porn

Our interpretation

  • The plain reading is an increase in incidents, circulation or availability of sexually explicit synthetic depictions made or shared without the depicted person's consent.
  • No country is specified. Evidence from affected countries can establish growth, but cannot establish a worldwide prevalence rate.
  • For this ongoing observation, I use 2024-01-01 through 2024-09-10 as the current-year prepublication reporting period, with earlier counts as comparison baselines.
  • The separate concerns about teenage girls and social media are not additional propositions being graded.

Counts as supported if: Comparable incident counts or credible monitoring show increased nonconsensual sexual deepfake activity during the target period relative to an earlier period.

Counts as contradicted if: Broad, comparable evidence shows that the alleged increase was absent, or that the apparent growth concerned consensual or unrelated material.

Retrospective: these criteria were written after the outcome was public.

Current assessment

Was it true for the period described?

Outcome: Supported

The dated evidence matches what the claim committed to, under the criteria frozen before grading.

Scored on a plain reading. The speaker named no measure for this claim, so it was judged on the reading an informed reader would take, stated below under our interpretation. Both reviews had to find that reading fair.

Evidence as of
Deadline state when assessed
No horizon
Assessment recorded
Policy version
2026-10-28.7

Rationale

In its August 27, 2024 release, Korean police reported 297 sexual-deepfake cases through July 2024, compared with 180 in all of 2023 [e1]. The release describes nonconsensual sexual depictions made from real people's images, supporting growth in recorded incidents before publication [e1]. IWF counted fewer AI-generated images on one forum during March 9–April 7, 2024 than during its September 2023 snapshot [e2]. That broader image count does not directly contradict the increase in recorded Korean sexual-deepfake cases [e1, e2].

Limitations

  • The Korean police figures do not establish worldwide prevalence or separate increased offending from increased recognition and reporting [e1].
  • The IWF forum count includes a broader category of AI imagery and does not isolate nonconsensual sexual depictions of identifiable people [e2].

Evidence (2 items)

  • Supports the claim: Korean National Police Agency; copy hosted by the National Youth Policy Institute,

    성범죄의 위협이 크게 증대되고 있다.

    Why it matters here: The Korean passage says the threat from sexual deepfakes of acquaintances and celebrities is substantially increasing. The accompanying police series records 297 cases through July 2024, compared with 180 in all of 2023, directly supporting growth in recorded cases.

    Publisher
    Korean National Police Agency; copy hosted by the National Youth Policy Institute
    Kind of source
    Official statistics
    Describes events of
    Public from
  • Context only: Internet Watch Foundation,

    decreased from September 2023 to March 2024.

    Why it matters here: The monitored forum's total AI-image count declined, so growth was not uniform across measures. This is broader than nonconsensual depictions of identifiable people and includes noncriminal images; it does not overturn the directly relevant police series.

    Publisher
    Internet Watch Foundation
    Kind of source
    Independent measurement
    Describes events of
    Public from

Where it was said (1)

Said once in the sources this register covers.

  • : Marcus on AI, What will the candidates say about AI in tonight’s debate?

    And you should be watching to see what they plan to do about the growing problem of nonconsensual deep fake porn, and especially how that might affect the already vulnerable population of teenage girls, who have been hard by social media.

    Published
    2024-09-10
    Source observed
    , live page
    Access
    full text, public

History

Assessment versions

Recorded events

  1. Assessment publishedBy this site

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    About assessment marcus-what-will-the-candidates-say-about-c2395f-a2.