“To give you some context, a chart from ComputerBase.de showed that high-bandwidth memory demand grew from 681 million gigabits of HBM in 2022 to 29.3 billion gigabits on 2026 — a 40x increase over the course of four years that suggests that once GPU-related capital expenditures stop, high-bandwidth memory demand will effectively disappear.”
Our reading, the sentence that was checked:
The roughly 40x growth in high-bandwidth memory demand from 2022 to 2026 suggests that once GPU-related capital expenditures stop, HBM demand will effectively disappear.
Assessment: Can’t be checked Not checked against evidence
Where and when Ed Zitron wrote it
Where's Your Ed At, The OpenAI Bubble, paragraph 152.
- Said
- Source observed
- live page, full text, public
- Evidence
- Not checkedboth screens found it cannot be checked
- Assessment recorded
- assessment wyea-the-openai-bubble-0ca604-a1
We recorded 17 claims from this post. See every claim from this post.
The wording above is the version this site observed on 2026-10-28. The source may have been edited after 2026-07-15. This page does not claim the wording was captured then.
What the claim commits to
- Kind
- Conditional forecast
- Deadline, as the speaker wrote it
- None stated. This site does not add one.
- Deadline state when assessed
- No horizon
- Deadline state on 2026-10-29
- No horizon (the release’s reference date)
Conditions
- once GPU-related capital expenditures stop (antecedent, stated by the speaker)
- suggests (qualifier, stated by the speaker)
From the speaker
- once GPU-related capital expenditures stop
- suggests
Our interpretation
None added.
This claim is not graded on evidence. The record checks that the words are quoted correctly and attributed to the right person, and that the claim is classified correctly.
Current assessment
Not graded on evidence
Outcome: Can’t be checked
Both AI providers screened this claim on their own and found that public evidence could not settle it. It is recorded and attributed, not scored.
Why it can’t be checked
Both screens gave the same reason:
- Stated as a chance or a possibility, or at medium or low confidence.
- Evidence
- Not checked
- Deadline state when assessed
- No horizon
- Assessment recorded
- Policy version
- 2026-10-28.7
Rationale
Not checked against evidence. Two independent screens, one from each provider, both found this stated as a chance or a possibility, or at medium or low confidence.
Limitations
None recorded.
Evidence (0 items)
No evidence was searched for. Both screens found that public evidence could not settle this claim.
Where it was said (1)
Said once in the sources this register covers.
: Where's Your Ed At, The OpenAI Bubble
To give you some context, a chart from ComputerBase.de showed that high-bandwidth memory demand grew from 681 million gigabits of HBM in 2022 to 29.3 billion gigabits on 2026 — a 40x increase over the course of four years that suggests that once GPU-related capital expenditures stop, high-bandwidth memory demand will effectively disappear.
- Where
- paragraph 152
- Published
- 2026-07-15
- Source observed
- , live page
- Access
- full text, public
History
Assessment versions
- Assessment wyea-the-openai-bubble-0ca604-a1: Current. Outcome: Can’t be checked. Not checked against evidence. Public date not recorded.
Recorded events
Assessment publishedBy this site
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.