Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

Make Fun Of Them

We recorded 33 claims from this post. 14 were checked against evidence. 19 can’t be checked. 12 more are held. Read the post at its source.

Claims from this post (33)

In the order they appear in the post. Each quotation is the speaker’s words in this post. A label such as “Supported” or “Can’t be checked” is the claim’s current assessment; its page has the evidence and the reasons.

  1. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

  2. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

    “This is gobbledygook, nonsense, bullshit peddled by a guy who has only the most tangential understanding of the technology his company is building.”

    What we tested: Sam Altman has only a tangential understanding of the AI technology OpenAI is building.

  3. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

  4. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

  5. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  6. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  7. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

    “If covering OpenAI was about the tech, you’d read about how the tech itself doesn’t seem to have a ton of mass-market use cases, and those use cases aren’t really the kind of things that you’d pay for.”

    What we tested: OpenAI's technology doesn't seem to have a ton of mass-market use cases, and those use cases aren't really the kind of things people would pay for.

  8. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

    “Every member of the media covering this uncritically should feel ashamed of themselves.”

    What we tested: Journalists who covered Anthropic's blackmail stories uncritically should be ashamed.

  9. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  10. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

  11. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

  12. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

    “It has, allegedly, 500 million weekly active users — and, by the last count, only 15.5 million paying subscribers, an absolutely putrid conversion rate even before you realize that the actual conversion rate would be monthly active subscribers.”

    What we tested: ChatGPT's allegedly 500 million weekly active users against, by the last count, 15.5 million paying subscribers is an absolutely putrid conversion rate.

  13. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

    “These models are dangerous and chaotic, built with little intention or regard for the future, just like the rest of big tech’s products.”

    What we tested: Generative AI models are dangerous and chaotic, built with little intention or regard for the future, just like the rest of big tech's products.

  14. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

  15. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

    “And if you ever need proof that Google just doesn’t know how to fucking innovate anymore, look at AI Summaries, a product that both misunderstands search and why people use ChatGPT as a search replacement.”

    What we tested: Google's AI Summaries misunderstand both search and why people use ChatGPT as a search replacement, which he offers as proof that Google no longer knows how to innovate.

  16. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

  17. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

    “the fact it plans to lose over a hundred billions of dollars before becoming profitable?”

    What we tested: OpenAI plans to lose over $100 billion before becoming profitable.

  18. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “The most prominent company in the tech industry is an unstable monolith with a vague product that can only make $10 billion a year (revenue, not profit) as the very fabric of its existence is shoved down the throat of every executive in the world at once.”

    What we tested: OpenAI is an unstable monolith with a vague product that can only make $10 billion a year in revenue, not profit.

    What happened: CNBC directly reports the company-disclosed $10 billion rate and identifies the included products and exclusions. No standalone primary financial statement was found. (CNBC, )

  19. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  20. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

    “Meta is not making any money from generative AI.”

    What we tested: Meta is not making any money from generative AI.

  21. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

  22. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  23. Assessment: MixedSaid

    “So what, OpenAI makes $12.7 billion this year, but loses $14 billion, what does that mean to you, exactly?”

    What we tested: OpenAI will make about $12.7 billion in revenue in 2025 but lose about $14 billion.

    What held: The independently confirmed financial reporting places realized revenue within the contract's tolerance. This supports the revenue component only. (Financial Times, syndicated by Yahoo Finance, )

    What did not: The reported net loss is well outside the forecast's tolerance. This contradicts the loss component under the stated net-loss reading. (Ars Technica, )

  24. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

    “Less than $39 billion dollars of total revenue in the entire generative AI industry.”

    What we tested: By his tally of run rates and projections, the entire generative AI industry has less than $39 billion in total revenue.

  25. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  26. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

  27. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

    “agents as a concept are fucked because large language models are inherently unreliable”

    What we tested: AI agents are fundamentally unworkable because LLMs are inherently unreliable and break down on multi-step tasks.

  28. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

    “So, here’s my radical suggestion: start making fun of these people.”

    What we tested: People should start mocking AI and tech leaders.

  29. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  30. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  31. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

    “Satya Nadella, Sam Altman, Wario Amodei, Tim Cook, Andy Jassy — they deserve to be laughed at, mocked, or at the very least interrogated vigorously, because their combined might has produced no exciting or interesting products outside of, at best, what will amount to a productivity upgrade for integrated development environments and faster ways to throw out code that may or may not be reliable.”

    What we tested: The combined might of Nadella, Altman, Amodei, Cook and Jassy has produced no exciting or interesting products, apart from, at best, what will amount to a productivity upgrade for coding tools (IDEs) and faster ways to produce code that may or may not be reliable.

  32. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

    “Satya Nadella, Sam Altman, Wario Amodei, Tim Cook, Andy Jassy — they deserve to be laughed at, mocked, or at the very least interrogated vigorously”

    What we tested: Nadella, Altman, Amodei, Cook and Jassy should be mocked or at least questioned vigorously.

  33. Assessment: Can’t be checkedSaid

Held from this post (12)

These records did not pass every check, so nothing about them is published. Held is not a finding.