Changes, page 18 of 55
Every substantive change to the register, newest first. Speaker events record what the people covered said or changed. Site events record what this site published, corrected, flagged, or withdrew. The two never share a label.
Substantive changes (10984)
Page 18 of 55: changes 3401 to 3600 of 10984, newest first. Dates are when the change was recorded.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-f6a29d
e1 is dated 2026, which is not inside the period described (2025-12-01 to 2026-08-31); it can only be context
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-f00297-a2.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-d5a07e
The final-text check failed: excerpt_matches.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-c7e9c3
The anthropic review reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-bc9bad-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-aacbee-a1.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-9b8ba5
The anthropic review reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-93f7e3-a1.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-84d36e
The final-text check failed: proposition_faithful.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-7aa4d6-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-74595c-a1.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-62f621
The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-57d845-a1.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-572ba3
hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-508f9e
The final-text check failed: proposition_faithful.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-4ae1a6-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-434030-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
The AI involved in the Hugging Face attack did not go rogue; it solved the task it was given.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-312aaf-a2.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-28c75d
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-1bb6b0
The final-text check failed: conditions_shown, citations_correct.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-1bb409-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-already-in-dangerous-hands-15a3b8-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
Systemic risk from private credit financing of AI infrastructure is building.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-f33804-a2.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-ef6e16
hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-e48b5b
The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-d44a7c-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-cef5f9-a1.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-c701ba
The openai review reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-c698eb-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-b85ba7-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
The US government will not give generative AI companies money forever.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-abcafb-a1.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-896d82
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-884dae
The anthropic review reads the claim differently.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-82a167
the conclusive event e1 is not outcome evidence in the packet
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-81a0dd
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-6bc0cc
The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-6b88f9
a observation claim cannot be assessed on the forecast_outcome axis; the horizon on 2026-10-28 is open_horizon, not elapsed
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-5d0403
hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
If Microsoft's capex dips, it will directly hurt the US economy and stock market.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-5a530f-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-5400fd-a1.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-53dba6
The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-4e80eb
"unlikely" is hedged or probabilistic; one outcome does not score it; hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
Generative AI startups have had no exits and no IPOs.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-4dd359-a2.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-4c9fb8
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-4464db
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
Most AI capex comes from big tech, which is a major systemic weakness in the US economy.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-38273f-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-365cd7-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-2a7e5c-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
LLMs don't scale profitably and their functionality doesn't justify their running costs.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-1d3658-a1.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-1908a9
The two reviews differ: anthropic causal_assessment/open_horizon/unresolved, openai causal_assessment/not_applicable/unresolved.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-18cb1b-a3.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-177d7a-a3.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
OpenAI is not following standard methods for calculating annualized revenue.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-06cd69-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
AI capex will eventually slow, reducing NVIDIA GPU purchases and slowing US economic growth.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-064b60-a1.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-027a73
e2 measures something else (period 2026-04..2026-04 is not ?..?); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-is-a-money-trap-02700e-a2.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-fe4384
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-f3e4c9-a2.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-e23af3
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-dbbd2a
a observation claim cannot be assessed on the causal_assessment axis
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-c8bc6c
The final-text check failed: excerpt_matches, citations_correct.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
Blackstone has staked its entire future on AI working out.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-c854ec-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-c54db0-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-c4e60e-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-bcb3a4-a3.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-bc80cc-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-ae7241-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-aa12f8-a2.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-92e995
The final-text check failed: proposition_faithful.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-90fed5
The final-text check failed: excerpt_matches.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-7cb19e-a3.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-229895
The openai review reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-10f0fa-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-had-better-work-out-01b9f3-a2.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-fde698
The openai review reads the claim differently.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-f9b0cc
The openai review reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
LLMs cannot be trusted to run anything on their own.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-f1ac56-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-e922d5-a2.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-e03c64
The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-ca4bb0
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-bd1ab7
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-a6f44b
a observation claim cannot be assessed on the causal_assessment axis
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-985797-a2.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-93d7c4
The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-90a8cc
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
Nobody can measure AI's return on investment because it does not have one.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-682c54-a1.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-6109ad
a observation claim cannot be assessed on the causal_assessment axis
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-4d643b
The anthropic review does not accept e1 as contradicts.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-486201
hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-3cdf3f
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-257447-a1.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-218910
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-1359f4-a1.
HeldBy this siteEd Zitron
Held record wyea-ai-doesnt-have-roi-0bacd7
a observation claim cannot be assessed on the causal_assessment axis
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-why-openai-may-well-be-completely-3faa3a
e1 is decisive for a financial claim but states no metric scope; e2 is decisive for a financial claim but states no metric scope
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-openai-may-well-be-completely-234e80-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
GPT-5 had not been released as of July 2024.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-openai-may-well-be-completely-234e80-3-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-my-pdoom-has-risen-dramatically-b9fc72-a2.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-why-my-pdoom-has-risen-dramatically-9b6c5b
The anthropic review reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Grok is a long way from AGI and hardly smart enough to map out an effective world domination.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-my-pdoom-has-risen-dramatically-7db7c3-a2.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-why-my-pdoom-has-risen-dramatically-19e05a
The final-text check failed: proposition_faithful.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-my-pdoom-has-risen-dramatically-13bcb4-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-do-large-language-models-hallucinate-e6e804-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-do-large-language-models-hallucinate-df0a1b-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-why-do-large-language-models-hallucinate-d33a88
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-do-large-language-models-hallucinate-65b7e1-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-do-large-language-models-hallucinate-30dec2-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-do-large-language-models-hallucinate-17c951-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-do-large-language-models-hallucinate-17bf2e-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-do-large-language-models-hallucinate-14b4ca-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-chatgpt-cant-be-trusted-with-e72c97-a2.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-why-chatgpt-cant-be-trusted-with-de74ce
The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/supported, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-why-chatgpt-cant-be-trusted-with-d36a06
The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-why-chatgpt-cant-be-trusted-with-4897d2
hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-why-chatgpt-cant-be-trusted-with-2cec0d
The final-text check failed: citations_correct; overclaims: CNN was reporting Trump's capture announcement hours before the morning testing..
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-why-chatgpt-cant-be-trusted-with-2a998a
The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-chatgpt-cant-be-trusted-with-17ff45-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-californias-ai-safety-bill-should-cc8872-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-why-californias-ai-safety-bill-should-5cdc3d-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-why-californias-ai-safety-bill-should-4b7a21
The two reviews differ: anthropic forecast_outcome/open_horizon/not_adjudicable, openai forecast_outcome/open_horizon/unresolved.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-why-californias-ai-safety-bill-should-46b9aa
The two reviews differ: anthropic forecast_outcome/open_horizon/not_adjudicable, openai forecast_outcome/open_horizon/unresolved.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-to-expect-when-youre-expecting-eff808-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Alignment will remain a critical unsolved problem with GPT-4.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-to-expect-when-youre-expecting-a9525d-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-what-to-expect-when-youre-expecting-9e60b0
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-to-expect-when-youre-expecting-37868f-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-to-expect-when-youre-expecting-238701-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-what-to-expect-when-youre-expecting-20fe8b
The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-to-expect-when-youre-expecting-177f3a-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-what-to-expect-when-youre-expecting-075246
The openai review reads the claim differently.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-what-to-expect-when-youre-expecting-05bab7
The anthropic review does not accept e1 as supports.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-should-we-learn-from-openais-e20e39-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-should-we-learn-from-openais-d7e7c0-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Lately Sam Altman and OpenAI have made many mistakes and broken many promises.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-should-we-learn-from-openais-cdf556-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-should-we-learn-from-openais-c7adde-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-what-should-we-learn-from-openais-9e54b5
e4 is dated 2024-05, which is not inside the period described (2023-11-01 to 2024-05-26); it can only be context; e1 is decisive for a financial claim but states no metric scope; e2 is decisive for a financial claim but states no metric scope; e4 is decisive for a financial claim but states no metric scope
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
OpenAI traded on being 'open' while knowing since May 2016 that the name was misleading.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-should-we-learn-from-openais-62c2b4-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-what-should-we-learn-from-openais-1e3db1
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Regulatory capture is the default outcome in AI regulation.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-should-we-learn-from-openais-0e0898-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
ChatGPT still struggles with basic facts of life in image generation.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-scaling-does-and-doesnt-buy-c1e720-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-scaling-does-and-doesnt-buy-6f1bf0-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-scaling-does-and-doesnt-buy-6b861f-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Marcus got Nano Banana to fail on his very first attempt.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-scaling-does-and-doesnt-buy-0d6610-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-what-scaling-does-and-doesnt-buy-0c6ad1-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-we-cant-trust-the-fox-to-guard-the-d087bb-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-we-cant-trust-the-fox-to-guard-the-afa332
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-we-cant-trust-the-fox-to-guard-the-a8a49d
a observation claim cannot be assessed on the causal_assessment axis
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
The US was not going to get the AI legislation it needed.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-we-cant-trust-the-fox-to-guard-the-8a395b-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-update-re-microsoft-and-training-0d292f-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-image-generation-still-crazy-after-d11e1d-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Embedding LLM technology in robots would be even more risky than using it in home assistants.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-how-come-smart-assistants-have-virtually-34cc58-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-hello-multimodal-hallucinations-85ff6e-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-has-the-bailout-of-generative-ai-b801dd
The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/contradicted.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-has-the-bailout-of-generative-ai-5a41e1
The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Sooner or later, powerful people are going to use LLMs to shape people's ideas.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-has-grok-lost-its-mind-and-mind-melded-823a8e-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-has-grok-lost-its-mind-and-mind-melded-1b29b0-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-hard-forked-casey-newtons-distorted-e4e7f3
The final-text check failed: rationale_supported_by_evidence, citations_correct; overclaims: Earlier research, published July 8, 2024, explains that extensive testing can miss weaknesses and that testing and red-teaming do not provide rigorous, quantifiable safety guarantees [e6]..
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-hard-forked-casey-newtons-distorted-637742-a2.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-hard-forked-casey-newtons-distorted-342d98
e1 is dated 2024, which is not inside the period described (2024-01-01 to 2024-12-06); it can only be context; e2 is dated 2024, which is not inside the period described (2024-01-01 to 2024-12-06); it can only be context; e3 is dated 2024, which is not inside the period described (2024-01-01 to 2024-12-06); it can only be context; e4 is dated 2024, which is not inside the period described (2024-01-01 to 2024-12-06); it can only be context
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-hard-forked-casey-newtons-distorted-2dfa27
hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Large language models still make silly errors, and problems of abstraction are widespread in them.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-happy-groundhog-day-the-ai-edition-d7f85a-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
The current revival of neural networks has more staying power than the earlier one, which collapsed.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-happy-groundhog-day-the-ai-edition-d1ccc9-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Many concerns raised about neural networks 30 years ago still hold true.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-happy-groundhog-day-the-ai-edition-889f4f-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-happy-groundhog-day-the-ai-edition-40a16a-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Putting LLMs into production is hard and most deployment work to date has been preliminary.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-happy-1st-birthday-gpt-4-fe0f67-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-happy-1st-birthday-gpt-4-f00f06-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
The profitability of LLM businesses remains uncertain.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-happy-1st-birthday-gpt-4-d0e79a-a2.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-happy-1st-birthday-gpt-4-761602
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-happy-1st-birthday-gpt-4-245405
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-groupthink-versus-tulips-what-will-4e7b11
e1 is decisive for a financial claim but states no metric scope; e2 is decisive for a financial claim but states no metric scope; e3 is decisive for a financial claim but states no metric scope
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-grok-3-hot-take-c726c8
The final-text check failed: rationale_supported_by_evidence, citations_correct; overclaims: The cited public record supports the historical conclusion that pure pretraining scaling had not demonstrated broadly human-level general intelligence by February 18, 2025 [e1, e2, e3, e4]. | The January 2025 International AI Safety Report documents uneven capabilities, difficulty with novel scenarios and failures on simple reasoning tasks [e1]. | Their qualified interpretation does not establish the broad human-level standard used here, but shows why 'clearly' is stronger than the consensus warrants..
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Grok 3, as demoed, was not AGI, contrary to a Musk fan's prediction.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-grok-3-hot-take-5247eb-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
OpenAI's competitive moat keeps shrinking.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-grok-3-hot-take-31577b-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Because OpenAI's moat keeps shrinking, price wars among AI model providers will continue.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-grok-3-hot-take-31577b-2-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
The Grok 3 launch did not test against full o3 and reported only a handful of benchmarks.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-grok-3-hot-take-302078-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Grok 3 has not solved hallucinations.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-grok-3-hot-take-29a51f-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-overdue-overhyped-and-underwhelming-e54d36-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-gpt-5-overdue-overhyped-and-underwhelming-d1d61f
The final-text check failed: citations_correct.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-overdue-overhyped-and-underwhelming-b24250-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Promises that AI will produce world-changing science rarely materialize.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-overdue-overhyped-and-underwhelming-589ed9-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Pure scaling simply isn't the path to AGI and will not get us there.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-overdue-overhyped-and-underwhelming-2abc58-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-overdue-overhyped-and-underwhelming-26d204-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
LLM development has hit a wall: real progress on some dimensions but stuck on others.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-overdue-overhyped-and-underwhelming-19e767-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Models hyped as godlike turn out to be incremental advances.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-overdue-overhyped-and-underwhelming-0e13ae-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-now-arriving-gate-8-gate-9-f5cc4f-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
Projected arrival dates for GPT-5 have repeatedly slipped into the future.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-now-arriving-gate-8-gate-9-9cccde-a2.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-gpt-5-now-arriving-gate-8-gate-9-774448
The anthropic review reads the claim differently.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
GPT-5 will not be released in 2024.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-now-arriving-gate-8-gate-9-459a41-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-gpt-5-hot-take-ca5a48
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-gpt-5-hot-take-6d408c
The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-hot-take-6bff2b-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-hot-take-5eb0a3-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-hot-take-5d0a8a-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
OpenAI still has no clear technical moat with GPT-5.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-hot-take-25d34f-2-a1.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
In the GPT-5 announcement, OpenAI showed at least two graphs whose bars did not match the numbers.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-gpt-5-hot-take-085a4f-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-give-me-compromise-or-give-me-chaos-d372bb
The final-text check failed: rationale_supported_by_evidence, citations_correct; overclaims: These expressed positions contradict the blanket claim of seeking exemption from all regulation; they support the narrower concern about lobbying to limit foundation-model obligations (e1, e2)..
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-getting-gpt-to-work-with-external-6ad253-a2.
Assessment publishedBy this siteGary Marcus
GPT-4 does not reliably understand how to use the Code Interpreter and Wolfram Alpha plug-ins.
First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.
Assessment marcus-getting-gpt-to-work-with-external-0ab0f2-a1.
HeldBy this siteGary Marcus
Held record marcus-agi-by-2027-c93b79-2
The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/supported, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/mixed.