Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

Changes, page 17 of 55

Every substantive change to the register, newest first. Speaker events record what the people covered said or changed. Site events record what this site published, corrected, flagged, or withdrew. The two never share a label.

Substantive changes (10984)

Page 17 of 55: changes 3201 to 3400 of 10984, newest first. Dates are when the change was recorded.

  1. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-annualized-enron-rate-40c18a

    The final-text check failed: citations_correct; overclaims: The article describes coverage of on-demand, interruptible and reserved rentals, including commitments lasting up to 60 months..

  2. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-annualized-enron-rate-30ae3f

    The final-text check failed: citations_correct.

  3. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Microsoft has only around 2GW of operational AI capacity despite claiming to bring a gigawatt online in each of its last three fiscal quarters.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-annualized-enron-rate-2f4937-a1.

  4. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Anthropic's and OpenAI's revenues are held up by venture capital by proxy via AI startups.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-annualized-enron-rate-2d6a1f-a2.

  5. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-annualized-enron-rate-2b6c1a

    The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/mixed, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/contradicted.

  6. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-annualized-enron-rate-2644d9

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  7. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    In AI, more demand produces larger losses, and the most engaged customers are the least profitable.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-annualized-enron-rate-1d5033-a1.

  8. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-annualized-enron-rate-006f0a

    The openai review reads the claim differently.

  9. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    He would argue that Anthropic is having to raise this money to pay up front for capacity that has yet to be built.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-fa458a-a2.

  10. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    He thinks Anthropic is outright misleading its investors if it is saying it will only burn $11 billion in 2026 and 2027.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-ebf93d-a2.

  11. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-dde5d9

    The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/contradicted, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/mixed.

  12. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Google and Anthropic run a circular arrangement where Anthropic buys Google TPUs and then rents them back from Google.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-dbc159-a1.

  13. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-db42ea

    The final-text check failed: proposition_faithful.

  14. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Excluding OpenAI, Microsoft makes under $3 billion a quarter in AI revenue after spending about $293 billion in four years.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-db1ed0-a1.

  15. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Microsoft's Fairwater data centers are entirely reserved for OpenAI.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-d966a7-a1.

  16. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-c928aa

    e1 measures something else (period 2025-07-01..2025-09-30 is not 2025-07-01..2026-03-31); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs; e2 measures something else (period 2025-10-01..2025-12-31 is not 2025-07-01..2026-03-31); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs; e3 measures something else (period 2026-01-01..2026-03-31 is not 2025-07-01..2026-03-31); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs

  17. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-c51fc3

    hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading

  18. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-c09dbb

    hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading

  19. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-928b53

    hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading

  20. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-8894fe

    The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  21. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-833966

    The final-text check failed: proposition_faithful.

  22. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-81c5bb

    The openai review reads the claim differently.

  23. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Big tech has spent over $1 trillion on AI with only nothing, vague claims, or pathetic revenues to show for it.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-7cf879-a1.

  24. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-7031a1

    hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading

  25. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    OpenAI and Anthropic each lose tens of billions a year, so most AI revenue and compute demand depends on their ability to keep raising money.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-63c19d-a1.

  26. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    It takes about six months to install a quarter's GPU sales, so uninstalled GPUs are piling up in warehouses.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-5f6a4f-a2.

  27. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    By the end of 2027 big tech will have spent $2 trillion on AI capex with very little to show for it.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-598995-a1.

  28. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    In Q2 FY2025 Microsoft made about $325.2M from AI infrastructure rental and $367M from M365 Copilot, less than half of OpenAI's $1.467B inference spend.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-514c7d-a1.

  29. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-3e21fa

    e1 measures something else (company Alphabet (Google) is not Microsoft; Alphabet (Google); Amazon; Meta, each separately); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs; e2 measures something else (company Amazon is not Microsoft; Alphabet (Google); Amazon; Meta, each separately); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs; e3 measures something else (company Microsoft is not Microsoft; Alphabet (Google); Amazon; Meta, each separately); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs; e4 measures something else (company Meta is not Microsoft;

  30. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-2ee012

    The openai review reads the claim differently.

  31. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Microsoft has fully itemized AI revenue line items and intentionally chooses not to disclose them.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-2d3bf1-a1.

  32. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-2bf486

    The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/contradicted.

  33. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-2406b8

    The final-text check failed: rationale_supported_by_evidence; overclaims: Neither disclosure establishes Google's stated 2.95 GW base or a comparable Anthropic allocation during January–March 2026, so neither establishes whether Anthropic's estimated share reached half [e1, e2]..

  34. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-1a2996

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  35. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Every one of the big tech companies under discussion is talking about AI non-stop, and not one of them can show a profit from it.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-0560b2-a1.

  36. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-02f0a4

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  37. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-am-i-meant-to-be-impressed-023568

    The final-text check failed: proposition_faithful, rationale_supported_by_evidence; overclaims: This supports an estimated total, but Reuters could not independently verify the $200 billion Google component [e8]. | The Google component rests on reporting that Reuters could not independently verify..

  38. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-fe6a65

    The openai review reads the claim differently.

  39. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-fcfcce

    The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/supported, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved.

  40. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-f62bbc

    the horizon on 2026-10-28 is not_due, not elapsed; hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading

  41. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    The monthly subscription model does not make economic sense for any LLM-connected service.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-f6064a-a1.

  42. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-f06574

    The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/supported, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved.

  43. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-df7492

    The anthropic review reads the claim differently.

  44. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-dd710b

    e1 measures something else (metric Reported gross margin before the claimed free-user adjustment is not Gross margin excluding and including free-user service costs); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs

  45. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Anthropic and OpenAI both intend to burn tens of billions of dollars in the next few years, and neither has a path to profitability.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-c41ff4-a1.

  46. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Although prices for some models might have come down, newer reasoning models burn far more tokens, so the cost of inference has gotten higher over time.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-b79382-a2.

  47. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Oracle avoiding running out of money depends on OpenAI growing to over $280 billion in annual revenue, so the CFO's worries are a serious warning sign.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-b449a6-a1.

  48. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    For three years Microsoft let GitHub Copilot users burn more in tokens each month than their subscriptions cost.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-b123d7-a1.

  49. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-fcfcce

    e1 is dated 2026-04, which is not inside the period described (2026-04-01 to 2026-04-28); it can only be context; e2 is dated 2026-04, which is not inside the period described (2026-04-01 to 2026-04-28); it can only be context

  50. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-f6bc73

    hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading

  51. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-f62bbc

    the horizon on 2026-10-28 is not_due, not elapsed

  52. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    The monthly subscription model does not make economic sense for any LLM-based service.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-f6064a-a1.

  53. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Cursor had -23% gross margins as of January 2026, or -31% including non-paying users.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-dd710b-a1.

  54. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Neither OpenAI nor Anthropic has a path to profitability.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-c41ff4-a2.

  55. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Because reasoning models consume far more tokens, the cost of inference has risen over time even if some per-model prices fell.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-b79382-a1.

  56. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Using Anthropic's recent models with Claude Code costs more than $30 per day.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-9f7f7b-a2.

  57. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    If OpenAI cannot pay for its Stargate compute, Oracle will collapse given its ~$115 billion of Stargate debt.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-9f698e-a2.

  58. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Every single AI service you use subsidized compute, and every single one is losing money as a result.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-95aa5f-a2.

  59. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-8e2b23

    The final-text check failed: citations_correct.

  60. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    LLM-based subscriptions will disappear entirely, at least for code-generating products.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-853e46-a1.

  61. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-76827e

    a observation claim cannot be assessed on the causal_assessment axis

  62. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-606c23

    the result turns on our interpretation rather than the speaker's words, so it cannot be scored without a stated plain reading

  63. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-605574

    The anthropic review does not accept e1 as supports.

  64. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Oracle's Stargate business will take years to become profitable even if OpenAI pays on time.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-5c61cf-a2.

  65. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    OpenAI and Anthropic account for 50% of AI data centers under construction, a systemic weakness if either cannot pay.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-5ab043-a2.

  66. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-483b23

    The two reviews differ: anthropic forecast_outcome/open_horizon/not_adjudicable, openai forecast_outcome/open_horizon/unresolved.

  67. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    OpenAI is incredibly unprofitable and would need far more revenue than it has to pay Oracle on an ongoing basis.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-409833-a1.

  68. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Investors will eventually question mounting R&D costs from AI token spending when revenue growth fails to follow.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-33176b-a2.

  69. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    The majority of AI subscriptions will inevitably move to token-based billing.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-32c3eb-a1.

  70. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    The AI industry's fall is inevitable; its supporters have only delayed it.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-25e57b-a1.

  71. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    A large part, possibly a majority, of AI compute revenue depends on continued venture capital and debt.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-234762-a2.

  72. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Until recently Anthropic let subscribers burn more than $8 in compute per dollar of subscription, and AI startups are burning cash.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-1f5679-a1.

  73. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-ad-free-184d10

    The final-text check failed: proposition_faithful, conditions_shown.

  74. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    If OpenAI cannot pay for its Stargate compute, Oracle will die, having taken on about $115 billion in debt and needing $150 billion more.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-9f698e-a2.

  75. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Every single AI service you use subsidized compute, and every single one is losing money as a result.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-95aa5f-a1.

  76. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-8db320

    The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  77. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Of the 114GW of AI data centers announced for completion by end of 2028, only 15.2GW is under construction.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-883b36-a2.

  78. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-606c23

    The openai review reads the claim differently.

  79. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Oracle's Stargate Abilene is behind schedule, with only enough power for two buildings.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-605574-a2.

  80. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    The AI industry will inevitably fall; its supporters have only delayed it.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-5d2a7a-a1.

  81. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Oracle is staking its future on Stargate projects that will take years to turn a profit even if OpenAI pays on time.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-5c61cf-a1.

  82. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    OpenAI and Anthropic account for 50% of AI data centers under construction, a systemic weakness if either cannot pay, and demand outside them is unclear.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-5ab043-a1.

  83. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-483b23

    The two reviews differ: anthropic forecast_outcome/open_horizon/not_adjudicable, openai forecast_outcome/open_horizon/unresolved.

  84. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-409833

    The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/supported, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved.

  85. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-33176b

    The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  86. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    The majority of AI subscriptions will inevitably move to token-based billing.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-32c3eb-a2.

  87. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    There never has been and never will be an economically feasible way to offer LLM services without charging each user's actual token burn.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-2ebe4f-a1.

  88. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    A large part, perhaps most, of AI compute revenue depends on continued venture capital and debt.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ais-economics-dont-make-sense-234762-a1.

  89. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-f38aa0

    hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading

  90. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-dcd752

    e1 measures something else (company Alphabet (Google), a constituent of the claimed industry is not AI industry, particularly Microsoft, Alphabet (Google), and Amazon); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs

  91. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-d28ceb

    e1 measures something else (company OpenAI is not AI labs, including OpenAI and Anthropic); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs

  92. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    GPUs are not profitable to run.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-ced0bf-a2.

  93. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-c9fdff

    The openai review reads the claim differently.

  94. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Excluding OpenAI and Anthropic deals, Microsoft's RPO would have been effectively flat.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-c97106-a1.

  95. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    In some cases, pressure to use AI for everything is degrading companies' software stacks.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-c6464e-a1.

  96. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Around 30% (~$87B) of Microsoft's capex since FY2023 went to building OpenAI's infrastructure.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-c4d217-a1.

  97. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    In FY2025 Microsoft made ~$7.5B from OpenAI inference and $761M from revenue share while investing ~$88.2B in capex.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-affbc2-a1.

  98. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Microsoft 365 Copilot's 20 million subscribers yield at most $7.2B a year, and actually less due to discounts.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-a08a8f-a1.

  99. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-8b42f6

    e1 is dated 2026, which is not inside the period described (2026-01-01 to 2026-05-19); it can only be context

  100. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-74dd63

    The final-text check failed: rationale_supported_by_evidence; overclaims: The prior screens do not remove the ambiguities in the actual wording..

  101. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Unrestrained AI spending is inflating the revenues of Anthropic and OpenAI in a way that isn't sustainable for anybody involved.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-729309-a2.

  102. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Meta has not shown real revenue growth from AI despite planning at least $125B of 2026 capex.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-6c6793-a1.

  103. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    The AI bubble will eventually pop, driven by identifiable factors and events.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-69d963-a1.

  104. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-646bf1

    e1 measures something else (company Anthropic is not Anthropic and OpenAI, assessed separately); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs; e2 measures something else (company OpenAI is not Anthropic and OpenAI, assessed separately); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs

  105. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-484a5e

    a observation claim cannot be assessed on the causal_assessment axis

  106. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-40c1eb

    e1 is decisive for a financial claim but states no metric scope

  107. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-391c4e

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  108. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-38ac39

    e1 measures something else (company OpenAI is not Anthropic and OpenAI, assessed separately); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs

  109. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-30df4a

    e1 measures something else (company Meta is not Microsoft, Alphabet (Google), Meta, and Amazon, each separately); it can only be context unless it is derived with stated inputs

  110. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    None of Microsoft, Meta, Amazon or Google disclose their actual AI revenues.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-2a3801-a1.

  111. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Every AI startup loses millions or billions of dollars a year and none appears to have found a way to stop.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-24af57-a2.

  112. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Generative AI is a machine of capital that has burned $1 trillion and created one of the most wasteful products in history.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-162292-a1.

  113. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-0f79ca

    The anthropic review reads the claim differently.

  114. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-0e70d0

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  115. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-0a3b20

    The final-text check failed: proposition_faithful.

  116. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Executives will eventually see they are overspending, and once one cuts their AI token budget the others will rush to follow.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-too-expensive-0a2f9c-a1.

  117. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-fca866

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  118. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-f34e96

    The final-text check failed: rationale_supported_by_evidence, citations_correct; overclaims: In Harness's July 2026 survey, 60% of respondents said they had exceeded their agent budgets in the preceding quarter [e5]..

  119. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    The AI industry has burned over a trillion dollars.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-ee40e3-a2.

  120. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-e06ef5

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  121. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Doubts about Oracle's ability to pay its debts, or about OpenAI's ability to pay Oracle, will threaten massive margin calls on Ellison's share-backed loans.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-d6d11c-a2.

  122. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-d5b6ea

    The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  123. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-d1b7c3

    The two reviews differ: anthropic forecast_outcome/open_horizon/not_adjudicable, openai forecast_outcome/open_horizon/unresolved.

  124. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-cd42b6

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  125. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-c31af1

    The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  126. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-bdc1bc

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  127. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Anthropic and OpenAI together account for at least 70%, and possibly 80-90%, of all AI compute demand.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-b4299d-a1.

  128. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Enterprise token spending caps are signs that AI revenue growth is slowing.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-b15f98-a1.

  129. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    AI cannot slow down: Anthropic and OpenAI must roughly double in size within a year and keep doubling about every year until 2029 or 2030.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-b0b22c-a2.

  130. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-a63fc8

    The openai review reads the claim differently.

  131. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Unless Anthropic is making over $100 billion within two years, it cannot afford its commitments.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-a1ab1b-a1.

  132. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    If OpenAI cannot afford or does not want its contracted compute, Oracle will run out of money.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-9484de-a2.

  133. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-92d37f

    The final-text check failed: citations_correct.

  134. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    OpenAI's $122 billion March round will not cover its costs, and it will need at least another $250 billion in funding by the end of 2026.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-8c5387-a1.

  135. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Anthropic's $95 billion raised and its cash flow will not cover its costs, so it will have to raise at least another $200 billion within the next year.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-88c2a4-a2.

  136. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-7ef2b3

    The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  137. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Anthropic will not be profitable by 2029, despite its claims.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-7eaad7-a1.

  138. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-7eaad7-2

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  139. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Anthropic must reach its projected $174 billion in annual revenue by 2029 to pay for its compute commitments.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-6e1415-a2.

  140. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-69723f

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  141. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Unless Anthropic and OpenAI each reach $10 billion or more in monthly revenue by Q1 2028, their growth will not support their compute commitments.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-691106-a2.

  142. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Even if only half of the planned data center capacity gets built, it will need about $875 billion in annual revenue to avoid running out of money.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-55adc6-a2.

  143. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-516793

    The final-text check failed: citations_correct.

  144. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-4ad434

    The final-text check failed: citations_correct.

  145. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Executive mandates forcing tech employees to use AI tools have turned those employees against their leadership.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-2864ca-a1.

  146. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-241c1d

    a conditional_forecast claim cannot be assessed on the historical_observation axis; the antecedent is unknown, so the conditional is neither confirmed nor falsified; scoring a conditional needs evidence that its antecedent happened

  147. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-slowing-down-19e593

    The openai review reads the claim differently.

  148. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Only 3% of households pay for AI despite easy access.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-f6c351-a1.

  149. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-f687a1

    The anthropic review reads the claim differently.

  150. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-f4104c

    The anthropic review does not accept e1 as supports.

  151. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    The $500B Stargate project was a lie; the entity was never formed.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-ef41a1-a1.

  152. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    OpenAI's Operator does not work, AI browsers are fundamentally broken, and agentic AI doesn't do what people say.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-e829bf-a1.

  153. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-d0956a

    a observation claim cannot be assessed on the causal_assessment axis

  154. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-c7e6ce

    e2 is decisive for a financial claim but states no metric scope

  155. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-c3a782

    The anthropic review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  156. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Anthropic's default 1 million token context window causes context bloat that greatly raises token spend.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-c221c3-a2.

  157. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-a020bc

    hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading

  158. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-9da204

    hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading

  159. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Anthropic's revenue is roughly 75% API and 25% subscriptions, by the author's estimate.

    The anthropic review could not run (error).

  160. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-9427f8

    The anthropic review could not run (error).

  161. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    OpenAI and Anthropic's fast growth is only possible because they subsidize subscribers' compute, burning $3-$15 per dollar of subscription revenue.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-84d26a-a2.

  162. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-83e484

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  163. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    The actual economic or productivity effects of coding LLMs are unclear, other than an abundance of new code that is making running companies harder.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-6efd57-a1.

  164. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    LLMs let incompetent engineers get by, lowering the quality of shipped code.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-682156-a1.

  165. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Anthropic cherry-picks four-week API spend windows boosted by launches and annualizes them.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-67bafd-a1.

  166. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-660fc5

    e1 is decisive for a financial claim but states no metric scope

  167. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-509674

    The two reviews differ: anthropic historical_observation/not_applicable/mixed, openai historical_observation/not_applicable/unresolved.

  168. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    LLMs can write code and create software, but that doesn't mean the code is good, stable, or secure.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-47e4e7-a1.

  169. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Amodei's remarks don't actually claim Anthropic has 50% gross margins or is profitable.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-39dbbf-a1.

  170. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Based on its Microsoft revenue share, OpenAI made $4.329 billion in January–September 2025.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-36e886-a2.

  171. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    The growth of the AI companies in question is only possible because all of them heavily subsidize their products, spending $3 to $15 for every dollar of revenue.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-294793-a2.

  172. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-1f5c23

    The anthropic review does not accept e1 as supports.

  173. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    LLMs write a lot of code, not good code; broader use means more review time or more vulnerabilities.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-1aca15-a1.

  174. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-165165

    hedged language is not scored, even on a plain reading

  175. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-0aa23f

    The openai review found the criteria unfair to the speaker's words.

  176. Assessment publishedBy this siteEd Zitron

    Only about 5GW of the hundreds of gigawatts of announced AI data centers are actually under construction.

    First assessment published after both reviews and the final-text check passed.

    Assessment wyea-ai-is-really-weird-04405b-a1.

  177. HeldBy this siteEd Zitron

    Held record wyea-ai-is-really-weird-030294

    The anthropic review does not accept e2 as contradicts.