Pundit ClaimsAI claims by Gary Marcus and Ed Zitron, with the evidence

Claims checked against evidence by Gary Marcus, page 12 of 19

Deadlines are judged as of 2026-10-29. About Gary Marcus and the sources covered.

Claims checked against evidence by Gary Marcus (1870)

Each of these claims was checked against dated evidence.

Page 12 of 19: claims 1101 to 1200 of 1870, ordered by the date first said, newest first. To find a claim by its words, use search.

  1. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “OpenAI has trained on a massive amount of copyrighted material, without consent, and in many instances without compensation.”

    What happened: The section documents web and book corpora, including roughly 400 billion tokens of filtered Common Crawl data. It establishes training scale, but does not itself establish the copyright or licensing status of every work. (OpenAI researchers, published on arXiv, )

  2. Assessment: MixedSaid

    “OpenAI proceeded to make a Scarlett Johansson-like voice for GPT-4o, even after she specifically told them not to, behaving in an entitled fashion that has angered many—highlighting their overall dismissive attitude towards artist consent.”

    What held: The report supports recognizable resemblance in the public demonstration. It does not establish cloning or deliberate imitation. (NPR, carried by Iowa Public Radio, )

    What did not: OpenAI dates recording to June and July 2023 and Johansson’s first approach and refusal to September. This contradicts creation of the original Sky voice after her refusal, although deployment followed it. (OpenAI, )

  3. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  4. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “What the LLM does is more akin to what some high school students do when they plagiarize: change a few words here or there, while still sticking close to the original.”

    What happened: The article dates the shared screenshot to May 23 and transcribes the generated sentence. Compared with the reproduced source in e8, it retains the quantity, glue-in-sauce recommendation, and adhesive purpose with changed wording. (Hindustan Times, )

  5. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Many people are reaching essential the same perceptions.”

    What happened: Merchant's own commentary criticizes Altman's conduct as unusually entitled and overbearing. It is direct evidence of his perception, not independent verification of the allegations he discusses. (Blood in the Machine — Brian Merchant, )

  6. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “In November, the narrative was about how everybody loved Sam. Things have changed. A lot.”

    What happened: WIRED reported that roughly 95% of employees had signed the letter supporting his return. This documents the prominent November narrative of overwhelming workplace support, although it does not measure public affection. (WIRED, )

  7. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  8. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  9. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  10. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  11. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “I shared some of my own thoughts about which Pandora’s Boxes had (LLMs) and had not (AGI) already been opened.”

    What happened: Meta's release announcement offered downloadable Llama 3 models and described access through its public assistant. This establishes public availability before the post. (Meta, )

  12. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  13. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  14. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  15. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “You might think that if OpenAI said, hey, we don’t want our software used for military purposes, Microsoft would respect that and say, ok cool, but they haven’t.”

    What happened: The report places this Microsoft presentation at an October 2023 Defense Department seminar, when OpenAI's policy prohibited military use. Microsoft acknowledged the proposed application but said it had not begun implementing it. (The Intercept, )

  16. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Playing the field with Mistral wasn’t enough; now he is building a really big model, big enough to compete directly with GPT-4, internally:”

    What happened: The original article identifies MAI-1 as Microsoft's internal project and describes its intended competitive class. Its underlying source is The Information, rather than an independent technical evaluation. (The Decoder, )

  17. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “You might think that after Satya offered to rescue Sam after Sam got fired, that Sam wouldn’t want to compete directly with Microsoft, but they are.”

    What happened: The reported pitches present OpenAI's enterprise offering as an alternative purchase for existing Microsoft customers. That satisfies the ordinary commercial meaning of direct competition. (Reuters, republished by Yahoo Finance, )

  18. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  19. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  20. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  21. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “People who buy Altman’s narrative will continue to invest.”

    What happened: SoftBank explicitly endorses OpenAI's role in achieving advanced general intelligence. This establishes the belief condition under the stated public-endorsement interpretation. (SoftBank Group, )

  22. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  23. Assessment: MixedSaid

    “In the last year, his company has released no major update to GPT-4, and many competitors have caught up or are close. Competitors are eroding the initial gap in quality and starting to offer similar products, sometimes at significantly lower prices.”

    What held: The release documents overlapping multimodal chat and API products and reports strong Opus benchmark performance. Sonnet's published input and output token charges were below GPT-4 Turbo's corresponding charges in e1, although Opus was more expensive and Sonnet was a lower capability tier. (Anthropic, )

    What did not: The announcement documents an accessible GPT-4 Turbo preview with 128K context, improved instruction following, JSON mode and image-input support in the API. These constitute a substantial update under the stated reading of major. (OpenAI, )

  24. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  25. Assessment: SupportedSaid

  26. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  27. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  28. Assessment: ContradictedSaid

    “Over a year ago in The Atlantic, I urged that we come up with laws and new technological responses to blunt the impact of AI-generated misinformation. So far almost nothing has been done.”

    What happened: The ruling applied existing consent and disclosure protections to AI-generated voice calls and became effective on release. It was a concrete federal response relevant to deceptive impersonation calls, subject to statutory exemptions. (Federal Communications Commission, )

  29. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “The very process that LLMs use to generalize also creates hallucinations.”

    What happened: Hallucination follows from statistical prediction itself, even with ideal data. That matches the claim that the generalizing process creates hallucinations. (arXiv / STOC 2024 (Kalai and Vempala), )

  30. Assessment: MixedSaid

    “Instead, everything that LLMs say -- true or false -- comes from the same process of statistically reconstructing what words are likely in some context. They NEVER fact-check what they say.”

    What held: This supports the first part. The leading LLM generates text by predicting likely next tokens. The report also notes post-training, which shapes but does not replace that process. (OpenAI (arXiv), )

    What did not: From September 2023, Google's deployed LLM product, at the user's request, checked its own answers against web content. This contradicts 'NEVER fact-check' as applied to LLM products. (Google, )

  31. Assessment: MixedSaid

    “Instead, LLM "hallucinations" arise, regularly, because (a) they literally don't know the difference between truth and falsehood, (b) they don't have reliably reasoning processes to guarantee that their inferences are correct and (c) they are incapable of fact-checking their own work.”

    What held: In the reported intrinsic-correction experiments, models had to judge their answers without ground-truth feedback, and accuracy fell. This supports unreliable reasoning and self-correction in those settings, not universal incapacity or the full explanation of factual hallucinations. (arXiv; Huang et al., )

    What did not: The model generated verification questions, answered them using the model itself without external tools, and revised its response. The reported improvements contradict categorical inability under the stated behavioral reading, while leaving substantial errors. (arXiv; Dhuliawala et al., )

  32. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  33. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  34. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “LLMs are well on their way to becoming a commodity; price wars will be intense.”

    What happened: Reuters reports Alibaba's steep cuts, Baidu making two models free hours later, and ByteDance's earlier aggressive pricing. This directly establishes competitive price cutting rather than merely cheaper computation; reputable reporting is used for the response sequence. (Reuters, republished by Yahoo Finance, )

  35. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  36. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  37. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  38. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  39. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  40. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Adding visual data to LLMs hasn’t solved hallucinations.”

    What happened: The developer of GPT-4V, the main model that added vision to an LLM, reports that it was still prone to hallucinations. (OpenAI, )

  41. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “I also urged the world to focus on global AI governance, and am pleased to see some genuine progress in that direction, especially led by the UN and the Council of Europe.”

    What happened: The UN's own account records adoption without a vote of an AI resolution addressing human rights and governance frameworks. Its broad international backing establishes a concrete multilateral milestone. (United Nations in Türkiye, )

  42. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Yejin Choi worried that LLMs were not reliable. They still aren’t.”

    What happened: The March evaluation covers thirteen models from the Gemini, GPT, Claude and PaLM-2 families and documents continuing factuality limitations. It also finds better performance among larger models, so it supports continued unreliability without supporting stagnation. (arXiv; Jerry Wei and colleagues, )

  43. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  44. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “The Humane AI pin/virtual assistant just doesn’t work well, and a lot of the problem is the underlying AI, which I believe is powered by OpenAI.”

    What happened: The launch review documents a false answer about a California food ban and a mistaken temple identification. These failures directly impair the question-answering function, although the review also identifies missing features and hardware problems. (WIRED, )

  45. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  46. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  47. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Eliezer Yudkowsky warned that AI was (inevitably!) going to kill us all. I am happy to report that so far it hasn’t.”

    What happened: The governing body's report documents living humans competing in the Boston Marathon on April 15. Their existence logically establishes that AI had not killed all humanity by then. (World Athletics, )

  48. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  49. Assessment: MixedSaid

    “The study Mollick linked to doesn’t actually show what he claims. If you read it carefully, it says literally nothing about capabilities improving.”

    What held: The study measures efficiency at a given performance level. Its compute-halving estimate does not establish that capabilities themselves doubled at the same rate. (Anson Ho and colleagues, arXiv, )

    What did not: The authors explicitly describe an analysis of improving capabilities. Their summary also explains the study's decomposition of performance gains into compute scaling and algorithmic contributions, contradicting the assertion that it addresses only efficiency. (Epoch AI, study authors, )

  50. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “What it actually shows is some improvements, mostly modest, over the last few months for a bunch of different measures.”

    What happened: In the assistant configuration, April-minus-January changes are 4.5 DROP F1 points and 7.9, 8.9, 4.5, 1.3, and 1.6 percentage points on GPQA, MATH, MGSM, MMLU, and HumanEval. The ChatGPT configuration likewise has small changes on most measures, with larger GPQA and MATH gains and a slight HumanEval decline. (OpenAI, )

  51. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  52. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “I think it’s fair to say that they have not. GPT-Turbo released this week still produces its share of groaners, like this interchange Phil Libin just sent:”

    What happened: The tests used the newly released snapshot on 133 Python exercises, allowing two attempts. Unsuccessful tasks demonstrate that coding errors persisted; this is not a measurement of factual hallucinations. (Aider, )

  53. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  54. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  55. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Already in recent weeks, Inflection AI largely closed shop, Stability AI is struggling, and LLM-based autonomous vehicle company called Ghost closed shop, and a software engineer on YouTube raised quite serious questions about the wildly-hyped AI coding system Devin.”

    What happened: The regulator found that almost all of the team transferred, including its core expertise. This supports substantial dismantling of the original organization, under the stated interpretation. (UK Competition and Markets Authority, )

  56. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Huge jump from GPT-2 to GPT-3. Huge jump from GPT-3 to GPT-4 … and not so much for GPT-4 (13 months ago) to GPT-4 Turbo (just released). It’s hard not to see this plot as tentative evidence for the hypothesis of diminishing returns.”

    What happened: Table 1 reports 32.4% for fine-tuned GPT-2 and 43.9% for GPT-3 X-Large evaluated few-shot, a reported increase of 11.5 percentage points. The different evaluation methods prevent treating this as a controlled comparison of unchanged model preparation. (Dan Hendrycks and coauthors, arXiv, )

  57. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  58. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Skeptical of this, I offered Musk a $1 million bet that AGI superior to the smartest individual humans would not arrive by the end of 2025, reprinted here for those who missed it.”

    What happened: The retrospective report says every ARC-AGI-2 task was solved by at least two independent non-expert human testers. Its analysis identifies continuing generalization limitations in 2025 AI systems. (ARC Prize Foundation, via arXiv, )

  59. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Tesla FSD is getting better. But is getting enough better?”

    What happened: Crowdsourced tracker data as of early April 2024 showed v12.3 with far more miles between critical disengagements than v11 or v10, a measurable improvement just before the post. (NextBigFuture, )

  60. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “current models aren’t literally look up tables; they can generalize to some degree, but not enough.”

    What happened: The study evaluates 25 LLMs and four prompting techniques. It reports resilience to some numerical and wording changes alongside substantial failures under other mathematical perturbations, supporting the contextual claim of partial but unreliable generalization. (arXiv; Li and colleagues, )

  61. Assessment: ContradictedSaid

    “This is why driverless cars are still just demos, and why LLMs will never be reliable.”

    What happened: The filing describes daily public driverless rides for work, school, errands and airport travel, and identifies Waymo One as a deployed commercial service. Those operations contradict the demonstration-only premise. (Waymo LLC; filed with the California Public Utilities Commission, )

  62. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  63. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Neural networks (at least in the configurations that have been dominant over the last three decades) have trouble generalizing beyond the multidimensional space that surrounds their training examples.”

    What happened: WILDS reports performance losses across ten datasets involving natural distribution shifts. This supports recurring generalization difficulty across applications, without establishing a universal inability. (arXiv; Koh and colleagues, )

  64. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  65. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  66. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  67. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “The good news is that word is finally getting out more broadly.”

    What happened: A major mainstream body said AI-driven misinformation dominated its 2024 risk outlook, three months before the post. That shows the concern had reached the mainstream. (World Economic Forum, )

  68. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Meanwhile X itself is promoting nonsense.”

    What happened: Mashable directly observed the false story and documented its placement in Explore and the homepage sidebar. This establishes amplification by X's own features during the target period. (Mashable, )

  69. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Ironic that his own chatbot, Grok, is making the problem worse.”

    What happened: Grok wrote a false headline that X promoted to users, a direct addition to information pollution. (Mashable, )

  70. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “The bad news, which outweighs the good, is that the problem is quickly getting worse.”

    What happened: A more than tenfold rise in AI content-farm sites in about seven months is fast growth in AI information pollution. (The Guardian (Nigeria), reporting NewsGuard data, )

  71. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  72. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “The trouble is that the bigger the model, the higher the internal costs. And current-sized models, already expensive, aren’t reliable enough for many jobs.”

    What happened: The contemporaneous engineering assessment supports the general size-resource relationship and describes substantial deployment demands. It also explains that sparse architectures can weaken the relationship between total parameters and computation. (arXiv, )

  73. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  74. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  75. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  76. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  77. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  78. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  79. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  80. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  81. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  82. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “As noted here before, one study indicates that code quality is going down.”

    What happened: The study reports declining maintainability indicators in code authored through December 2023. This directly supports the limited assertion that one study indicated declining quality. (GitClear, )

  83. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “On the other hand, the use cases on the negative side of the ledger are proliferating fast, literally faster than I can report them here, from fake books (undermining authors) to rings of fake websites designed to sell ads”

    What happened: The report records 713 identified AI-generated sites, compared with fewer than 50 in May and around 600 in December 2023, and describes advertising incentives. These are discovery counts, not a controlled census of site creation. (The Guardian Nigeria, )

  84. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  85. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Some core problems have lingered, particularly hallucinations, instability and occasional nonsensical errors.”

    What happened: The experiments demonstrate false supporting assertions that GPT-4 can recognize as wrong when asked separately. They establish hallucination and elementary-error failure modes, not a population-wide error rate. (Zhang and colleagues, arXiv, )

  86. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “We can expect price wars.”

    What happened: Reuters documents Alibaba's deep cuts followed hours later by Baidu making previously paid Ernie Speed and Ernie Lite services free. It explicitly identifies the competitive episode as extending into LLM pricing. (Reuters, republished by Yahoo Finance, )

  87. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “There has however been lots of progress both in discovering potential applications and in putting GPT-4 class models into practice.”

    What happened: The announcement identifies GPT-4-powered conversation practice and answer explanations, available immediately through Duolingo Max in selected iOS markets. This documents distinct educational applications implemented in a released product. (Duolingo, )

  88. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  89. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  90. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  91. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Translation: Using a well-known algorithm that we didn’t invent to decide which faces of the cube to turn, we taught a robot to do motor control on a specially instrumented Rubik’s cube with bluetooth sensors inside.”

    What happened: The announcement explicitly separates Kociemba's move sequence from the neural networks' learned manipulation. Its approach section states that training occurred in simulation. (OpenAI, )

  92. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  93. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “Translation: But (revealed a few weeks later) behind the scenes we will try hard to water down your regulations.”

    What happened: The surrounding exchange supports public cooperation on regulation. Elsewhere in the same testimony, Altman advocates licensing and safety requirements. (U.S. Government Publishing Office, )

  94. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  95. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  96. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  97. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid

  98. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    “GenAI is messing with science.”

    What happened: The original paper expressly identifies Midjourney as the source of its images. It is evidence of AI provenance, not evidence that the paper's scientific assertions are reliable. (Frontiers in Cell and Developmental Biology; Xinyu Guo, Liang Dong and Dingjun Hao, )

  99. Assessment: SupportedSaid

    ““Current deep-learning systems frequently succumb to stupid errors.” Still true.”

    What happened: Experts evaluated 26 ordinary election questions across five leading models; errors included incorrect contact details and fabricated information. GPT-4 performed substantially better, with 19% of its responses rated inaccurate, and the authors explicitly warn that this small, nonrandom sample is not representative of everyday usage. (Proof News and the Institute for Advanced Study, AI Democracy Projects, )

  100. Assessment: UnresolvedSaid